<font face="Arial">LeeLou</font><font face="標楷體">李儒 算計之帷</font>

原文網址：
http://stats.nba.com/featured/sportvu_series_preview_okc_lac_2014_05_04.html
雷霆和快艇在例行賽對戰成績2-2打成平手，現在他們各自從7場大戰後晉級第二輪，透過SportVU來看看，快艇要用誰來阻止Kevin Durant? Westbrook和Chris Paul倒底誰佔優勢? 雷霆又要如何防守Blake Griffin呢?

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原文網址：
http://stats.nba.com/featured/lillard_time_2014_05_03.html
最後0.9秒拓荒者落後2分，Batum發邊線球，Lillard從遠端經由掩護衝向Batum，跑動中還拍了三次手要球，Batum傳球，Lillard接球、轉身、投籃，Chandler Parsons試圖想要封阻他的出手，不過已經來不及了，三分球應聲破網，拓荒者淘汰火箭贏得系列賽，晉級第二輪。

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原文網址:
http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2014/04/17/numbers-preview-thunder-grizzlies/
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies both survived injuries that knocked out key players for big chunks of the season. Their reward is facing each other in the first round.
This is a rematch of last year’s conference semifinals, a series won by the Grizzlies in five games. Oklahoma City will have Russell Westbrook this time, but the Grizzlies aren’t the same team either. They’ve made some upgrades on the wings and still have one of the league’s best defenses.
Here are some statistical nuggets regarding the 2 and 7 seeds in the Western Conference, as well as the four regular-season games they played against each other.

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在上一篇"On/Off值解讀攻守貢獻(一) 西區前四強"中，利用球員各別在進攻端效率(OffRtg)以及防守端效率(DefRtg)的On/Off差異，去針對西區前四強的球隊和球員屬性做簡單的分析，當然任何數據分析都有其盲點，可能無法完全反映真實的情形，但無論如何每筆資料終究有其參考意義，因此這邊就只純粹以On/Off差異來做解讀，避免加入任何主觀意識，以下是東區前四強中，球員上場時間超過1000分鐘的部份。
(註：這邊的數據統計至4/14為止。)

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原文網址:
http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2014/04/11/most-valuable-player-by-the-numbers/
Is the Kia NBA Most Valuable Player award for the most outstanding player or the most important player? If it’s the latter, is it more important to turn a playoff team into a championship contender than it is to turn a Lottery team into a playoff team?
Where would the Bobcats be without Al Jefferson? The Raptors without Kyle Lowry? How about the Mavs without Dirk Nowitzki? None of those three guys are in the top 10 of our MVP Ladder as of last Friday.

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原文網址:
http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2014/04/09/defensive-player-of-the-year-by-the-numbers/
Defense is difficult to quantify.
In the boxscore, we have steals and blocks, which don’t really tell us much. Two of the league’s top five in total steals plus blocks – Josh Smith and Andre Drummond – are Pistons. The Pistons are awful defensively and worse when Smith and Drummond are on the floor together than they are when one or both is off the floor.
NBA.com/stats tells us how many points per 100 possessions a player’s team has allowed when he was on the floor, a category dominated by players on the league’s best defensive teams.

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利用球員分別在進攻端效率(OffRtg)以及防守端效率(DefRtg)的On/Off差異，可以比較出球員在場上時和他在休息時的球隊體質變化。圖中橫軸代表的是進攻差異，越往右邊代表對球隊的進攻貢獻越大，而縱軸的部份是防守差異，越往上代表在防守端有比較大的影響力，因此透過圖表可以判斷出誰是攻守兩端最具關鍵性的傢伙。另外沿著45度角畫線，位於右上角紅色區域表示出賽時的淨得分是正值，離這條斜線越遠貢獻就越大，反之在左下角藍色區域則代表淨得分是負值。同時依照圖中四個象限的區分，也可以簡單歸納出球員在球隊中的屬性：(1) 能攻擅守，(2) 守優於攻，(3) 貧攻弱守，(4) 攻優於守。不過這只限於該球員在球隊中的定位，並不表示他在聯盟中也是這樣的球員，畢竟On/Off這類數據和隊友強弱有很大的相關性。(表中只列出上場至少1000分鐘的球員。)
除了分析球員在隊中的屬性之外，每支隊伍的球員分佈情形也透露出各隊的特性，分佈比較集中的隊伍，顯示他們的攻守較為均衡，相反地越分散則代表特別倚賴某些球員或是搭配組合。若是在進攻端有顯著的強弱之分，就會有左右散開的特徵，如果隊上有防守組存在，則會有上下散開的情形。以下就針對西區的前四強做一些簡單的分析。
(註：這邊的數據統計至4/7為止。)

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原文網址:
http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2014/04/04/rookie-of-the-year-by-the-numbers/
Kia Rookie of the Year voting should be pretty simple this season. There are only nine rookies who have averaged at least 20 minutes per game for 50 games or more. And none of those have done it for a team with a winning record.
Winning records don’t matter much in Rookie of the Year voting. None of the last 10 winners played for teams with winning records. So there probably won’t be anything stopping the media from voting for Michael Carter-Williams (of the 16-59 Sixers) or Victor Oladipo (of the 21-54 Magic).
Carter-Williams appears to be the clear favorite. He leads all rookies in points, rebounds, assists and steals per game.
That doesn’t mean that he’s the best player among all rookies. He’s just had the biggest opportunity, playing for a team that stripped its roster bare over the course of the last 10 months.

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原文網址:
http://hangtime.blogs.nba.com/2014/04/02/sixth-man-candidates-by-the-numbers/
The Kia NBA Sixth Man Award is a lot more straightforward than the Most Improved Player Award, in part because the field is limited. To be eligible for the Sixth Man Award, players need to have come off the bench in more games than they started.
If you eliminate players who have started at least half the games they’ve played and also players who haven’t played at least 1,000 minutes, you’re left with fewer than 100 guys (even if you add a few guys — like Steve Blake – that can get under the 50-percent threshold by continuing to come off the bench over the last two weeks). And since there aren’t too many great players coming off the bench, it’s not too hard to determine the cream of the crop.
The Sixth Man Award often goes to the eligible guy who averages the most points per game. And while instant offense is an important part of bench play, it’s not that hard to go beyond that and look at total production, in terms of basic boxscore stats …
All stats are through April 1, 2014.

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根據SportVU的資料，可以找出本季NBA30支球隊中，持球時間最長的主力控球後衛，透過他們每場比賽持球和傳球次數的比例，以及平均的助攻數，便能夠將這些控衛分成不同的類型。圖表中由上至下代表傳球比重由高至低，而由左至右代表助攻次數由低至高。火箭的情形比較特別，林書豪和Patrick Beverley持球時間幾乎一樣，因此同時放進來做比較。
越靠近圖表下方代表攻擊性越強的控球後衛，像是最極端的Russell Westbrook，基本上拿到球後有超過3成5的比例不會再傳出來了，而Stephen Curry這種身為攻擊型控衛，卻還能同時兼顧助攻的球員，真的是非常難得。
反之在圖表最上方的便是以傳球為主的控球後衛，其中Kendall Marshall、Jose Calderon、Ricky Rubio、George Hill和Beverley更是有超過8成的比例會把球傳給隊友。而這些球員又可以分成兩類，一種位於右上角，擁有出色的組織傳球但進攻能力偏低，另一種位於左上角，屬於功能性球員，防守或放冷箭是他們的主要工作，通常球帶過半場後就會把球傳出去了。

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下面的圖表說明了NBA頂尖的得分手，在關鍵時刻挺身而出的能力。圖中的數字分別代表球隊在不同階段的落後情況下，球員的投籃次數以及命中率。依序為5分鐘落後5分、3分鐘落後5分、1分鐘落後5分、30秒落後3分、10秒落後3分。
這邊只列出得分排行榜名列前茅的幾位選手，當最後1分鐘落後5分的情況下出手未達10次的球員，因為樣本空間偏小，並沒有放進來比較。同時這些得分高手的隊友，如果出手次數達到標準，也會一併列出。
透過這樣的比較可以找出今年球季主宰賽事最後讀秒階段的關鍵殺手，像是James Harden以及Stephen Curry毫無疑問地一肩扛起球隊勝負，而Carmelo Anthony和Paul George則令人失望，另外拓荒者真正的王牌不是Aldridge，Damian Lillard才是他們最可怕的決殺武器。
註：這邊的數據統計至3/28為止。

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